Horse Racing Handicapping
Horse racing handicapping has been around since the mid 1800’s and came from some early “flaws” that the English saw in horse races. The first disadvantage that they saw in any race was the weight that a horse had to carry during the race. The heavier the load, the bigger the impost on the horse. This lead to handicapping where horses were given additional weights (in the saddle) to carry in order to make it a “fair” race and give every jockey an equal chance at winning.
As the system became more sophisticated and horse racing advanced many more factors were considered. Today, horse racing handicapping has evolved and the basic premise of thoroughbred handicapping is that in every race you can eliminate a lot of the horses by looking at potential weaknesses of a horse in a race.
This is a much an art as it is a science and learning to analyze past performance to predict future performance is the art that professional sports bettors have mastered. The math is really quite simple. If you can eliminate 6 out of the 10 horses in a race you can significantly improve your odds of picking winning horses.
So, what does thoroughbred handicappers look at? Every person has their own preference and most learn by experience what the best things is to look out for. Here are some of the most important handicapping elements that you can use.
Speed:
As a general rule of thumb the fastest horses win the most races. Unfortunately some really fast horses only have that speed over short distances, so you need to fctor in the various speed analysis when handicapping on speed.
Pace:
This refers to a horse’s running style and just like in an athletics race some runners will stay in the pack all race long before they break away while other want to run in front all the way. Pace handicappers will look at the time it takes for a horse to run a length and more recently the REXPOINTE indicator was introduced to help gauge a hors’s pace better.
Form:
Like any other sport, horses go through phases of performance. Horses are never on top of their form all the time. They go in and out of form all the time. By looking at a horses recent performance you can gauge if it’s in form or not. If it ended strong in the last few races then the horse is likely to be in form and even if it’s stats say otherwise it might come good and win the race based on form.
Class:
Horse races are classified by class. Generally faster horses will race in a higher class while slower horses will race in a lower class. The trick is that horses move between classes and can move either up or down based on recent performance. If a horse races above or below it’s class it can have a huge effect on the results of a race.
Horse racing handicapping can get very complicated and there are so many factors to look at an analyze. This is why horse betting systems became so popular. A system will look at only certain factors and usually at factors that are complimentary. By “stacking” these handicaps you can greatly improve your chances of success.
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